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Pitt Opens as Touchdown Favorite Over Duke at Home

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North Carolina has already clinched the ACC Coastal division, but Duke and Pitt will play this weekend in a contest between the No. 2 and No. 3 teams in the division standings.

Despite Duke’s recent success, Pitt enters a home matchup against the Blue Devils as an 8-point favorite. The over/under has been set at 54.5 points in what will be the home finale at Acrisure Stadium.

DraftKings also set Pitt as a touchdown favorite against the spread, slightly lower at 7.5 points. -110 odds have been assigned to bets against the spread for Pitt and Duke. The over/under has been set at 54 points, with bets for either set at -110.

A bet on Pitt to win outright is set at -315 odds while the same for Duke holds +260 odds.

Duke became just the second team in the ACC Coastal to earn bowl eligibility two weeks ago and followed with a win over Virginia Tech. Duke has reached the seven win plateau  — already the highest win total since the 2018 season.

With wins over Temple, Northwestern, North Carolina A&T, Virginia, Miami, Boston College and Virginia Tech, Duke is 6-3 so far this season. With losses to Kansas, Georgia Tech and North Carolina.

Pitt is 16-9 all-time against Duke, dating back to an inaugural 52-7 win in Durham, North Carolina in 1929. Duke won five straight matchups between 1940-51, and it’s been a largely Pitt-controlled series since.

Pitt has won six games in a row against Duke and 10 of the last 11 meetings — the sole loss coming in a 51-48 double-overtime loss at what-was-then Heinz Field in 2014.

Kenny Pickett threw for 416 yards and three touchdowns (helping fuel a 636-yard offensive explosion) to lead Pitt to a 54-29 win over Duke last season at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham.

The ACC Network crew will be announced later this week.

Sandy Schall, Coldwell Banker
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